Indian Politics and geopolitical situation

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India, which is waving banknotes in the international arms trade market, has recently “reaped a lot.” At the end of July, India ushered in multiple positives. First it celebrated the acquisition of the French-made Rafale fighter, and then the United States eased the export restrictions on drones. India plans to purchase MQ-9 Reaper armed drones from the United States.

Both the Rafale fighter and the MQ-9 Reaper have powerful ground strike capabilities, which are also urgently needed by the Indian army. Modi deliberately published a message in Sanskrit on social media: No sacrifice can be compared with national defense, no good deeds can be compared with national defense, and no practice can be compared with national defense!

However, Modi’s hypocrisy has been severely criticized from within. Rahul Gandhi of the “Nehru-Gandhi Family” pointed out on July 20 that Modi is nothing but a false image of a strongman, and this is the “biggest weakness” facing India. It is under Modi’s administration that India’s economy is weak and its diplomacy with neighboring countries has also entered a “turbulent period.”

As the former leader of the National Congress Party, Rahul Gandhi will of course target Modi. Although he hinted that “Modi will make India be attacked by both sides of China and Pakistan” is somewhat sensational, but the fact is that India has offended even its neighbors at home almost all the time, leading to a sharp deterioration in the geographical situation, which is very unwise.

India’s “Map to Open Frontiers” is very slippery, trying to create a preconceived impression and paving the way for aggression and expansion. Pakistan, on the other hand, is still ruling its own body in its own way, and announced on August 4 that the entire Indian-controlled Kashmir region will be included on the map of Pakistan. India abolished the “special status” of Jammu and Kashmir on August 5, 2019 and reorganized the two regions into the so-called “federal territories.” The Indian side then directly included the disputed territory on the map of India on November 2. Pakistan is only responding reasonably now.

Pakistan stated that it will launch a resolute struggle with India and use the new version of Pakistan’s map including the Indian-controlled Kashmir region in middle schools and universities. The Indian side resorted to lip service in desperation, saying that this approach is absurd. The Indian side seems to have forgotten, who first unilaterally put the territory of another country on its own map, that country is not only absurd, but also okay. Soldiers of a certain country even tasted the taste of mace with Tianling Gai near the border, and only afterwards did they relax.

In addition to Pakistan’s increasingly anti-India, Sri Lanka, which guards the Indian Ocean route, has also completely changed. The results of Sri Lanka’s parliamentary elections were announced on August 7. The Sri Lankan “People’s Front Party”, which has been considered “pro-China”, won a big victory and won nearly two-thirds of the seats in the parliament. The result of this election is bound to affect Sri Lanka’s future geopolitical position and national trend.

After the “pro-China” candidate Gotabaya Rajapaksa won the Sri Lanka presidential election by absolute advantage in November 2019, the “pro-China” won the parliamentary majority, and the country is finally back on track. Prior to this, Sirisena did not accomplish much during his tenure as President of Sri Lanka. Instead, Sri Lanka’s development was hindered and the economy stagnated. Facts have proved that even though Sri Lanka was inclined to the West during Sirisena’s presidency, it did not receive the assistance, investment and opportunities that the West promised. Only under the “Belt and Road” system can Sri Lanka realize its potential and develop rapidly.

For India, when the “Belt and Road Initiative” became popular in South Asia, the so-called “India Economic Plan” launched by India was in an awkward state. And this is also a microcosm of the sharp deterioration of India’s geographic situation.

India, which aspires to become “a great power in the world”, cannot even be balanced by its neighbors. It is far from clear that it has a good eye and a low hand. However, this does not prevent India from adopting a “quasi-superpower” posture to look forward to self-confidence and complacent.

It is true that India can purchase advanced weapons from foreign countries almost unrestricted as long as its wallet allows, but it cannot solve the problem of lack of protracted warfare capabilities. Now India’s military might seem mighty and powerful, but it can only bully the surrounding small countries. If there is a conflict with a major country, it is doubtful whether the Indian army’s ammunition can support 10 days.

To this end, India, in the name of “self-reliance”, announced a gradual suspension of 101 kinds of military products in the next four years to promote the localization of the defense industry. In this fiscal year, New Delhi has arranged a budget of 7 billion U.S. dollars to support “Made in India” military products.

It is hard to imagine that just last week, India announced that it would increase its troops near the border by nearly 35,000. It can be said that India does not seem to “hesitate to war” as shown by the outside world, because the most basic war preparations and mobilization have not been carried out, and the war machine has not been fully launched.

Not only that, but the Indian side quietly withdrew the statement of “cross-border invasion of Indian territory”, so as to arouse dissatisfaction and opposition from populist forces. Nationalist sentiments are easier to incite, but it is not easy to quell them. Instead, New Delhi was kidnapped, even if they wanted to calm down, they couldn’t do it.

The Indian army provoked in the border area and then suffered heavy blows. Perhaps one of the biggest “achievements” so far has been the successful acquisition of military spending and the purchase of their favorite “toys.” On the other hand, some people in India can “not open for three years and eat for three years.” As for whether the current results are beneficial to India’s long-term development, how many people in New Delhi care?

China and India could have worked together to create an “operating system” independent of the West. However, due to its short-sightedness, greed and unrealistic ambitions, India chose to rely on the United States to eat a little bit of stalemate, refusing to join the “Belt and Road”, withdraw from the RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership), and completely close the domestic market. This is a loss for India. Without India, this “operating system” and supply chain system independent of the West can also be established. India has missed the original stock, and there will be annoyance and regret in the future.

As we all know, the cost of tapping the wrong technology tree is extremely heavy, and a difference in thought can determine the direction of the national fortune. India has now chosen a wrong path because of the small profit in front of it.

All issues between countries must rely on strength to speak. The outcome of the long-term game will be determined by who achieves the rise first. India is obviously “short, long and short”. As soon as the red sun comes out, even the lighthouse will be dimmed, let alone print.

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Digital Nomad

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